Análisis ACR Messina vs Poggibonsi
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
-44%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 oct. 2013 |
MES
0 - 3
USF
39%
25%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2013 |
RAA
1 - 0
MES
14%
23%
64%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 sep. 2013 |
MES
2 - 2
APR
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 sep. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 0
MES
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -3 |
| 15 sep. 2013 |
MES
1 - 0
ARZ
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -1 |
Partidos
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 oct. 2013 |
USP
2 - 1
APR
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 0
USP
44%
26%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2013 |
USP
1 - 0
CAS
29%
26%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 sep. 2013 |
SOR
3 - 1
USP
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 sep. 2013 |
USP
0 - 1
TER
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -3 |