Análisis ACR Messina vs Triestina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.36
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.7%
Empate
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
24.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 1961 |
COM
0 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 1961 |
VNZ
2 - 1
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 1961 |
MES
1 - 0
ASS
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 1961 |
MES
1 - 0
VER
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 feb. 1961 |
MAN
0 - 0
MES
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 1961 |
PAL
2 - 0
TRI
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 1961 |
TRI
0 - 0
VER
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 1961 |
TRI
0 - 0
MAN
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRI
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 feb. 1961 |
TRI
1 - 1
PRO
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |