III Divisao Portugal Jor. 15

Análisis Messinense vs Aljustrelense

Messinense Aljustrelense
28 ELO 26
0.2% Tilt -5.1%
20271º Ranking ELO general 20278º
327º Ranking ELO país 334º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
47.7%
Messinense
23.1%
Empate
29.1%
Aljustrelense

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
Messinense
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.1%
Win probability
Aljustrelense
1.35
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Messinense
Aljustrelense
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Messinense
Messinense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 ene. 2012
SES
Sesimbra
1 - 0
Messinense
MES
44%
24%
32%
28 26 2 0
08 ene. 2012
MES
Messinense
0 - 0
Despertar SC
DES
85%
11%
4%
28 10 18 0
18 dic. 2011
LAG
Lagos
3 - 1
Messinense
MES
69%
18%
13%
29 39 10 -1
11 dic. 2011
QUA
Quarteirense
2 - 1
Messinense
MES
65%
19%
15%
29 37 8 0
27 nov. 2011
MES
Messinense
3 - 2
Pescadores
PES
46%
24%
30%
28 30 2 +1

Partidos

Aljustrelense
Aljustrelense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 ene. 2012
ALJ
Aljustrelense
1 - 0
Redondense
RED
69%
18%
13%
27 19 8 0
08 ene. 2012
LAG
Lagoa
2 - 3
Aljustrelense
ALJ
42%
25%
33%
26 26 0 +1
18 dic. 2011
ALJ
Aljustrelense
3 - 3
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
13%
21%
66%
26 69 43 0
11 dic. 2011
SES
Sesimbra
2 - 3
Aljustrelense
ALJ
49%
23%
28%
25 25 0 +1
27 nov. 2011
ALJ
Aljustrelense
2 - 0
Despertar SC
DES
82%
13%
6%
25 10 15 0