Análisis Mesta vs Perun
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
18.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.87
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.74
Goles esperados
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 2012 |
VEL
5 - 0
MES
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 may. 2012 |
MES
3 - 0
LEP
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2012 |
VDD
3 - 1
MES
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 may. 2012 |
MES
0 - 1
PEK
22%
25%
53%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Perun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2012 |
PEK
1 - 1
SLI
60%
22%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 2012 |
PEK
5 - 1
FKV
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2012 |
RIL
2 - 2
PEK
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2012 |
PEK
3 - 0
HEB
82%
13%
6%
|
51 | 8 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2012 |
MES
0 - 1
PEK
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |