Análisis Metz vs Valenciennes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.01
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 jul. 1978 |
PSG
0 - 2
MET
62%
21%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 1978 |
MET
2 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 may. 1978 |
MET
4 - 1
FCR
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 1978 |
MON
4 - 0
MET
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 abr. 1978 |
MET
1 - 1
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 jul. 1978 |
VAL
4 - 2
LIL
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 1978 |
PFC
0 - 2
VAL
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 may. 1978 |
TRO
2 - 1
VAL
54%
24%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 1978 |
VAL
1 - 1
NÎM
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1978 |
MET
1 - 1
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |