Análisis México Sub 20 vs Honduras Sub 20
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
66.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.26
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.7%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
México Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2017 |
MEX
5 - 0
CAN
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2017 |
MEX
3 - 0
AYB
88%
9%
3%
|
66 | 32 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 1
MEX
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 2016 |
MEX
0 - 0
QAT
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 jul. 2016 |
MEX
0 - 0
CRI
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Honduras Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2017 |
AYB
1 - 4
HND
16%
20%
64%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2017 |
HND
1 - 0
CAN
44%
23%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 jul. 2016 |
PAN
1 - 1
HND
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 jul. 2016 |
NIC
0 - 2
HND
18%
22%
59%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 jul. 2016 |
HND
2 - 1
SLV
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |