Análisis Mika vs Ararat II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.24
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.2%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-52%
-40%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 2007 |
MIK
1 - 0
GAN
58%
23%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2007 |
BAN
0 - 1
MIK
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2007 |
ARA
1 - 2
MIK
56%
26%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2007 |
PYU
1 - 0
MIK
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2007 |
ULI
0 - 0
MIK
33%
29%
39%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 2007 |
ARA
1 - 1
DYE
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2007 |
SHI
1 - 2
ARA
35%
26%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 sep. 2007 |
BAN
3 - 5
ARA
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 sep. 2007 |
PYE
2 - 4
ARA
52%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 sep. 2007 |
ARA
0 - 1
PYU
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |