Análisis Milan vs Varese
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
81.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.84
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.3%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 1965 |
ACM
0 - 2
ROM
76%
16%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1965 |
BOL
0 - 2
ACM
40%
24%
35%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 abr. 1965 |
ACM
1 - 0
JUV
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1965 |
ACM
1 - 0
USF
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 1965 |
FIO
0 - 0
ACM
31%
26%
43%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 1965 |
VAR
0 - 0
BOL
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1965 |
GEN
0 - 1
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1965 |
VAR
0 - 2
CAG
47%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 1965 |
VAR
3 - 0
CAT
43%
24%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 abr. 1965 |
MES
0 - 1
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |