Análisis Milan vs Livorno
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
64.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.45
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.1%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ene. 1943 |
INT
3 - 1
ACM
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 dic. 1942 |
ACM
3 - 1
BAR
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 1942 |
BOL
3 - 0
ACM
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 1942 |
ACM
4 - 1
LAZ
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 1942 |
ATL
0 - 0
ACM
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ene. 1943 |
LIV
2 - 0
VIC
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 dic. 1942 |
FIO
4 - 3
LIV
60%
19%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 1942 |
LIV
2 - 0
ROM
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 dic. 1942 |
GEN
5 - 2
LIV
72%
15%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 dic. 1942 |
LIV
0 - 3
JUV
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |