Análisis Milan vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
81%
Probabilidad gana
2.7
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.8%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 1965 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ACM
14%
22%
64%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1965 |
TOR
1 - 2
ACM
26%
25%
49%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 1965 |
ACM
0 - 1
VIC
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 1965 |
ACM
2 - 0
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 1965 |
CAT
1 - 1
ACM
15%
23%
62%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 1965 |
CAT
4 - 2
MES
58%
24%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1965 |
MES
3 - 3
BOL
25%
29%
46%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 1965 |
MES
0 - 1
INT
15%
23%
62%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 1965 |
GEN
2 - 0
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 ene. 1965 |
JUV
1 - 0
MES
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |