Análisis Milan vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
82.9%
Probabilidad gana
2.64
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.2%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.5
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 2
ACM
24%
27%
49%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2004 |
SHA
0 - 1
ACM
34%
28%
38%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2004 |
ACM
2 - 2
LIV
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2004 |
ACM
3 - 0
LAZ
62%
20%
18%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 may. 2004 |
ACM
4 - 2
BRE
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 2004 |
MES
4 - 3
ROM
20%
27%
54%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2004 |
MES
0 - 1
SIE
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 0
MES
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2004 |
CRO
0 - 1
MES
33%
27%
41%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 ago. 2004 |
MES
4 - 0
ACI
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |