Análisis Millonarios vs Real Cartagena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 jun. 2007 |
HUI
2 - 0
MIL
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 2007 |
MIL
1 - 0
IND
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2007 |
CUC
3 - 1
MIL
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 may. 2007 |
MIL
2 - 0
CUC
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2007 |
IND
2 - 3
MIL
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2007 |
PAS
1 - 0
CAR
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 0
QUI
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2007 |
ONC
2 - 1
CAR
58%
25%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 abr. 2007 |
CAL
4 - 1
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 2
IND
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |