Análisis Modena vs SS Arezzo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
16.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 2004 |
FCC
2 - 1
MOD
21%
29%
50%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2004 |
MOD
2 - 1
PRG
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 oct. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 0
VNZ
66%
22%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2004 |
PES
2 - 0
MOD
22%
28%
50%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 oct. 2004 |
MOD
4 - 0
TER
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 oct. 2004 |
ARZ
2 - 2
GEN
38%
27%
34%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2004 |
PES
2 - 2
ARZ
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 oct. 2004 |
ARZ
3 - 0
CRO
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 oct. 2004 |
TER
1 - 1
ARZ
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 2
TRI
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |