Análisis Modena vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.3
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 oct. 1968 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 1968 |
MOD
0 - 2
COM
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 oct. 1968 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 sep. 1968 |
LEC
3 - 1
MOD
57%
26%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 sep. 1968 |
MOD
0 - 1
REG
57%
21%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 oct. 1968 |
CES
0 - 0
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1968 |
COM
1 - 1
CES
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 1968 |
CES
0 - 1
FCC
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 sep. 1968 |
CES
2 - 2
CAT
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 1968 |
CES
1 - 0
SAM
43%
23%
35%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |