Análisis Modena vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.09
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
32.1%
Empate
0-0
16.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.1%
23.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
11.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 1972 |
NOV
3 - 3
MOD
66%
23%
11%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 1972 |
MOD
0 - 1
COM
40%
31%
29%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 feb. 1972 |
BRE
1 - 0
MOD
67%
23%
10%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 1972 |
MOD
0 - 1
PAL
40%
32%
28%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 1972 |
TER
2 - 1
MOD
60%
26%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 1972 |
CES
0 - 0
USF
47%
30%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 1972 |
LAZ
1 - 1
CES
73%
19%
8%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 feb. 1972 |
CES
1 - 0
REG
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 1972 |
CAT
1 - 0
CES
50%
32%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 1972 |
CES
2 - 2
GEN
57%
27%
15%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |