Análisis Modena vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.33
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
28.2%
Empate
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
24.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 may. 1992 |
CAS
0 - 0
MOD
37%
30%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 1992 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAL
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 1992 |
AVE
1 - 2
MOD
40%
30%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1992 |
MOD
1 - 0
TAR
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 mar. 1992 |
ASL
1 - 0
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 may. 1992 |
CES
1 - 1
ANC
52%
27%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 1992 |
COS
1 - 0
CES
45%
29%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 abr. 1992 |
CES
1 - 2
PIS
46%
28%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1992 |
CAS
2 - 0
CES
31%
32%
37%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 1992 |
CES
2 - 1
PIA
65%
22%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |