Análisis Modena vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.7%
Empate
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 nov. 2006 |
CRO
3 - 0
MOD
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2006 |
MOD
1 - 2
PIA
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 0
MOD
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 oct. 2006 |
MOD
2 - 0
LEC
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 oct. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 0
MOD
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 nov. 2006 |
CES
2 - 1
FRO
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2006 |
MAN
4 - 3
CES
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2006 |
CES
0 - 1
TRI
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 oct. 2006 |
CES
2 - 0
ARZ
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 oct. 2006 |
GEN
4 - 3
CES
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |