Análisis Modena vs Mantova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 2009 |
CTT
1 - 1
MOD
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2009 |
MOD
2 - 0
TRI
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 nov. 2009 |
ABN
0 - 3
MOD
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 nov. 2009 |
MOD
0 - 2
CRO
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 nov. 2009 |
SAS
0 - 0
MOD
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
SAL
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 3
CTT
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 nov. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 0
MAN
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 1
CES
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 nov. 2009 |
PIA
0 - 2
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |