Análisis Modena vs Ancona
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.45
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.2%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-34%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 nov. 1950 |
SAL
4 - 2
MOD
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 1950 |
MOD
1 - 1
SPA
52%
21%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 1950 |
SPE
1 - 1
MOD
50%
23%
28%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 1950 |
VNZ
3 - 2
MOD
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1950 |
MOD
4 - 0
SER
74%
15%
11%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
Partidos
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 nov. 1950 |
ANC
1 - 2
VER
43%
23%
34%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 1950 |
BAR
3 - 1
ANC
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 nov. 1950 |
ANC
0 - 1
USC
59%
20%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 oct. 1950 |
VIC
3 - 0
ANC
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1950 |
ANC
1 - 2
REG
47%
22%
31%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |