Análisis Modena vs Cittadella
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
55.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 1999 |
COM
0 - 3
MOD
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 1999 |
MOD
1 - 1
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 1999 |
MON
1 - 2
MOD
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 1994 |
MOD
1 - 4
LAZ
16%
23%
61%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 ago. 1994 |
LAZ
5 - 0
MOD
90%
8%
3%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
Partidos
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 1999 |
CTT
2 - 1
BRE
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 1999 |
CTT
1 - 1
LIV
38%
26%
37%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 1999 |
COM
0 - 0
CTT
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |