Análisis Modena vs Ascoli
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.61
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.8%
Empate
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
17.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2015 |
MOD
0 - 2
LAT
50%
28%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 2
MOD
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 0
VIR
48%
28%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 sep. 2015 |
CES
2 - 0
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 sep. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 0
TER
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2015 |
ASC
3 - 1
PES
22%
24%
54%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2015 |
COM
0 - 4
ASC
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 sep. 2015 |
ASC
0 - 0
BRE
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2015 |
LAT
1 - 0
ASC
63%
22%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2015 |
ASC
1 - 3
CES
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |