Análisis Modena vs Spezia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.55
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.5%
Empate
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
18.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 sep. 2007 |
PIA
1 - 2
MOD
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2007 |
MOD
3 - 0
GRO
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 ago. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 1
MOD
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 jun. 2007 |
MOD
2 - 1
FRO
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 2007 |
ARZ
0 - 0
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 sep. 2007 |
SPE
0 - 2
BOL
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2007 |
ABN
3 - 2
SPE
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2007 |
PIA
2 - 0
SPE
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 jun. 2007 |
VER
0 - 0
SPE
48%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 jun. 2007 |
SPE
2 - 1
VER
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |