Análisis Modena vs Brescia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
35%
Probabilidad gana
0.9
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
+2
9.1%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.6%
33.5%
Empate
0-0
17.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
33.5%
31.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
14.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 dic. 1987 |
PAR
2 - 1
MOD
59%
26%
16%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 1
BOL
31%
32%
37%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 1987 |
TRI
1 - 0
MOD
59%
25%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 nov. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 1
PIA
39%
29%
32%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 0
LEC
33%
32%
35%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 dic. 1987 |
BRE
2 - 0
UDI
42%
29%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 1987 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 nov. 1987 |
GEN
2 - 0
BRE
51%
29%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 nov. 1987 |
LEC
0 - 0
BRE
60%
25%
15%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 1987 |
BRE
1 - 1
USC
48%
30%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |