Análisis Modena vs Como
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+38%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 1956 |
UNI
1 - 2
MOD
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 1956 |
MOD
1 - 1
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 0
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1956 |
MOD
0 - 1
PRO
55%
22%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 sep. 1956 |
MOD
2 - 3
USA
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 1956 |
COM
0 - 1
PAR
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 1956 |
ASS
0 - 0
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 1956 |
COM
1 - 0
SSS
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1956 |
UNI
0 - 0
COM
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 1956 |
COM
2 - 2
PRO
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |