Análisis Modena vs Como
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
30.4%
Empate
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
28.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 jun. 1978 |
MOD
2 - 3
ASC
30%
30%
40%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 1978 |
BAR
2 - 1
MOD
69%
22%
9%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 may. 1978 |
MOD
0 - 3
COM
48%
31%
22%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 may. 1978 |
MOD
1 - 4
VAR
40%
30%
30%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 may. 1978 |
LEC
2 - 0
MOD
63%
24%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 1982 |
TOR
0 - 0
COM
72%
20%
8%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1982 |
COM
2 - 1
CES
44%
31%
25%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 may. 1982 |
AVE
1 - 1
COM
67%
23%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1982 |
COM
0 - 1
ROM
23%
29%
49%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1982 |
UDI
1 - 0
COM
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |