Análisis Modena vs Como
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.33
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
28.1%
Empate
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
23.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+40%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ene. 2000 |
VAR
3 - 0
MOD
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
MON
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2000 |
MOD
0 - 3
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 dic. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 0
MOD
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1999 |
MOD
2 - 1
SAN
70%
20%
11%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
Partidos
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ene. 2000 |
COM
1 - 1
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2000 |
CTT
1 - 0
COM
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2000 |
COM
1 - 1
ABN
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 dic. 1999 |
SPA
2 - 0
COM
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 dic. 1999 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |