Análisis Modena vs Fanfulla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
53.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.62
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 may. 1954 |
SAL
1 - 2
MOD
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1954 |
CAG
3 - 1
MOD
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 may. 1954 |
MOD
0 - 1
ATP
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 may. 1954 |
COM
2 - 0
MOD
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1954 |
MOD
0 - 1
ACM
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 may. 1954 |
FAN
1 - 0
CAG
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1954 |
ASS
0 - 0
FAN
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1954 |
FAN
0 - 0
SAL
65%
20%
16%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1954 |
FAN
2 - 0
PRO
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 abr. 1954 |
USA
2 - 1
FAN
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |