Análisis Modena vs Lecce
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
27.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.3%
Empate
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
44.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.36
Goles esperados
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2008 |
BOL
4 - 1
MOD
63%
22%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2008 |
MOD
0 - 0
PIS
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 1
MOD
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 1
VIC
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 mar. 2008 |
CES
2 - 1
MOD
32%
27%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2008 |
LEC
3 - 0
CES
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 1
LEC
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2008 |
LEC
2 - 0
RIM
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2008 |
BRE
0 - 0
LEC
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2008 |
SPE
1 - 1
LEC
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |