Análisis Modena vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 1952 |
SAL
1 - 1
MOD
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1952 |
CAT
1 - 0
MOD
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 1952 |
MOD
0 - 0
TRE
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 sep. 1952 |
UNI
4 - 2
MOD
69%
18%
14%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 jun. 1952 |
VNZ
1 - 0
MOD
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 1952 |
ATP
2 - 0
MES
62%
21%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1952 |
MES
4 - 1
FAN
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 sep. 1952 |
MES
2 - 0
ACM
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 sep. 1952 |
SAL
3 - 1
MES
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 jun. 1952 |
JUS
1 - 2
MES
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | -1 |