Análisis Modena vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 1954 |
PAV
3 - 2
MOD
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 1954 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAD
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1954 |
BRE
1 - 1
MOD
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1954 |
TRE
1 - 0
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 1954 |
MOD
2 - 0
ASS
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 1954 |
MES
0 - 0
ATP
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 1954 |
MES
1 - 1
USA
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1954 |
PRO
1 - 0
MES
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1954 |
ASS
2 - 0
MES
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 1954 |
MES
3 - 1
CAG
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |