Análisis Modena vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 1955 |
MOD
0 - 1
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 1955 |
SAL
0 - 3
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 oct. 1955 |
MOD
1 - 1
COM
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1955 |
VER
1 - 0
MOD
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 oct. 1955 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 1955 |
MES
0 - 0
ASS
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 1955 |
MES
3 - 1
VER
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 oct. 1955 |
USA
2 - 1
MES
52%
24%
23%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 oct. 1955 |
UNI
4 - 0
MES
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 oct. 1955 |
MES
1 - 0
PAR
44%
25%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |