Análisis Modena vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 ene. 1957 |
CAG
0 - 1
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 dic. 1956 |
MOD
0 - 0
SSS
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 dic. 1956 |
NOV
5 - 1
MOD
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 dic. 1956 |
ASS
2 - 0
MOD
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 dic. 1956 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACM
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 ene. 1957 |
NOV
1 - 0
MES
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 dic. 1956 |
MES
0 - 0
ASS
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 dic. 1956 |
COM
1 - 0
MES
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 1956 |
MES
2 - 2
PAR
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 dic. 1956 |
MES
0 - 0
VER
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |