Análisis Modena vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.56
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.5%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
20.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 oct. 1967 |
NOV
2 - 1
MOD
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1967 |
BAR
2 - 0
MOD
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 sep. 1967 |
MOD
2 - 1
GEN
49%
28%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 1967 |
MOD
3 - 2
REG
51%
23%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 oct. 1967 |
MES
1 - 1
LEC
44%
30%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1967 |
MES
1 - 0
REG
40%
30%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1967 |
PIS
5 - 0
MES
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 sep. 1967 |
VNZ
2 - 0
MES
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 sep. 1967 |
RPO
3 - 2
MES
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | -2 |