Análisis Modena vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
39.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.11
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
30.2%
Empate
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
30.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+25%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 1987 |
BAR
3 - 0
MOD
61%
25%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
39%
32%
30%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 abr. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 1
LAZ
38%
32%
30%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 0
MOD
46%
31%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 1987 |
CES
1 - 1
MOD
63%
24%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 1987 |
MES
1 - 0
TRI
51%
28%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 1987 |
PIS
3 - 1
MES
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 1987 |
MES
1 - 0
BOL
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1987 |
GEN
1 - 0
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 1987 |
USC
1 - 0
MES
53%
27%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |