Análisis Modena vs Novara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.21
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.2%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
23%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.36
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ene. 1939 |
LAZ
2 - 1
MOD
66%
18%
17%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 ene. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 1
BOL
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 dic. 1938 |
MOD
3 - 2
BAR
52%
22%
27%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 dic. 1938 |
LIV
1 - 0
MOD
48%
23%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 dic. 1938 |
MOD
0 - 2
BAR
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ene. 1939 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASL
59%
20%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 ene. 1939 |
TRI
0 - 0
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 dic. 1938 |
LEO
1 - 1
NOV
57%
21%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 1938 |
NOV
0 - 0
JUV
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 dic. 1938 |
ACL
3 - 1
NOV
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |