Análisis Modena vs Novara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
31%
Probabilidad gana
1.04
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.2%
28.5%
Empate
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
40.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.23
Goles esperados
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 dic. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
MOD
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 2
VAR
50%
27%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 dic. 2010 |
GRO
3 - 1
MOD
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 nov. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 1
CTT
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2010 |
TOR
3 - 2
MOD
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 dic. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 1
PES
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2010 |
FRO
1 - 1
NOV
31%
28%
42%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2010 |
NOV
3 - 0
CRO
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 0
NOV
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 1
NOV
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |