Serie A Jor. 8

Análisis Modena vs Roma

Modena Roma
80 ELO 78
-29.4% Tilt -28.7%
442º Ranking ELO general 18º
34º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
47.3%
Modena
24.5%
Empate
28.2%
Roma

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
Modena
1.63
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Roma
1.2
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Modena
Roma
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Modena
Modena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 oct. 1948
BOL
Bologna
2 - 0
Modena
MOD
57%
22%
21%
80 80 0 0
24 oct. 1948
MOD
Modena
2 - 1
Sampdoria
SAM
44%
24%
32%
80 78 2 0
17 oct. 1948
MOD
Modena
0 - 2
Padova
PAD
53%
23%
24%
80 73 7 0
10 oct. 1948
ATL
Atalanta
2 - 0
Modena
MOD
51%
24%
25%
81 78 3 -1
03 oct. 1948
MOD
Modena
1 - 1
Novara
NOV
58%
23%
20%
81 74 7 0

Partidos

Roma
Roma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 oct. 1948
ROM
Roma
1 - 0
Genoa
GEN
48%
23%
30%
78 80 2 0
24 oct. 1948
BAR
SSC Bari
0 - 4
Roma
ROM
39%
25%
36%
77 74 3 +1
17 oct. 1948
ROM
Roma
1 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
54%
22%
25%
77 78 1 0
10 oct. 1948
ROM
Roma
1 - 2
Milan
ACM
39%
25%
36%
77 85 8 0
03 oct. 1948
TOR
Torino
4 - 0
Roma
ROM
92%
6%
3%
78 91 13 -1