Análisis Modena vs Avellino
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.2
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
29.9%
Empate
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
25.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
10.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 ene. 1977 |
CAT
1 - 0
MOD
50%
30%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 0
ASC
34%
31%
35%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 ene. 1977 |
VAR
2 - 2
MOD
67%
23%
10%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 ene. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 0
BRE
46%
30%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1976 |
CAG
2 - 0
MOD
77%
18%
6%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 ene. 1977 |
AVE
1 - 0
TAR
56%
27%
17%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 1977 |
BRE
1 - 1
AVE
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1977 |
CAT
1 - 0
AVE
45%
31%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 ene. 1977 |
AVE
0 - 0
SSS
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 1976 |
AVE
0 - 2
RIM
68%
21%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -2 |