Análisis Modena vs Triestina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
39.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
32.7%
Empate
0-0
16.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.7%
28.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
13.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 1987 |
ARZ
2 - 2
MOD
54%
28%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAT
47%
30%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 mar. 1987 |
PAR
0 - 0
MOD
57%
28%
16%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 0
VIC
37%
30%
33%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 1
PIS
38%
32%
30%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 1987 |
TRI
1 - 1
BAR
57%
26%
17%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1987 |
TRI
1 - 0
BOL
53%
29%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 mar. 1987 |
VIC
0 - 0
TRI
50%
30%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 1987 |
TRI
0 - 0
LEC
53%
28%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 feb. 1987 |
SSS
1 - 0
TRI
38%
34%
28%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |