Análisis Mogren vs Decic
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
39.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.27
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.5%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.15
Goles esperados
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 2005 |
PET
4 - 3
MOG
50%
24%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2005 |
MOG
1 - 3
BOK
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 may. 2005 |
RUD
2 - 0
MOG
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 may. 2005 |
MOG
4 - 3
MOR
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 2005 |
KOM
1 - 0
MOG
57%
23%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 2005 |
DEC
0 - 3
JED
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2005 |
GRB
1 - 1
DEC
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2005 |
MLA
1 - 1
DEC
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2005 |
DEC
0 - 0
PET
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 abr. 2005 |
BOK
0 - 0
DEC
32%
28%
41%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |