Análisis Mogren vs Decic
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
65.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
12.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 jul. 2011 |
LOV
3 - 0
MOG
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 jul. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 2
LOV
31%
26%
44%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 may. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 0
MOR
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 may. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 2
RUD
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 may. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 2
BUD
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 may. 2011 |
DEC
0 - 2
PET
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 may. 2011 |
GRB
0 - 2
DEC
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 may. 2011 |
DEC
2 - 0
LOV
36%
32%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 may. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 0
DEC
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 may. 2011 |
DEC
0 - 0
SUT
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |