Análisis Montecarlo Sub16 vs CD Cuarte Sub16
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.57
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.4%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
+38%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo Sub16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 feb. 2025 |
RAC
5 - 4
MON
53%
20%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2025 |
MON
1 - 0
BPI
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2025 |
AMI
4 - 3
MON
35%
22%
44%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2025 |
REA
4 - 2
MON
77%
13%
10%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 2025 |
MON
3 - 0
HCJ
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
CD Cuarte Sub16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 2025 |
CUA
2 - 3
OLI
16%
18%
66%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 1
CUA
28%
21%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 feb. 2025 |
CUA
1 - 4
REA
11%
15%
74%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 2025 |
CUA
2 - 3
SAN
27%
22%
52%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2025 |
HUE
2 - 3
CUA
75%
14%
10%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |