Análisis Montecarlo Sub16 vs CD Cuarte Sub16
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.26
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.8%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.33
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+23%
+144%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo Sub16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 feb. 2025 |
RAC
5 - 4
MON
56%
19%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2025 |
MON
1 - 0
BPI
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2025 |
AMI
4 - 3
MON
37%
22%
42%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 ene. 2025 |
REA
4 - 2
MON
56%
20%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 2025 |
MON
3 - 0
HCJ
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
CD Cuarte Sub16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 2025 |
CUA
2 - 3
OLI
19%
19%
62%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 1
CUA
38%
21%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 feb. 2025 |
CUA
1 - 4
REA
17%
18%
65%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 2025 |
CUA
2 - 3
SAN
39%
22%
38%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 ene. 2025 |
HUE
2 - 3
CUA
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |