Análisis Montecarlo Sub16 vs Olivar E. Miralbueno Sub16
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.44
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.1%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo Sub16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 may. 2025 |
HCJ
3 - 3
MON
19%
19%
63%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 may. 2025 |
MON
4 - 5
OLI
26%
21%
54%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 may. 2025 |
MON
0 - 3
REA
14%
17%
70%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 2
MON
52%
21%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2025 |
MON
0 - 0
HUE
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Olivar E. Miralbueno Sub16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 may. 2025 |
TAR
0 - 6
OLI
29%
21%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 may. 2025 |
OLI
2 - 0
MON
16%
19%
65%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 may. 2025 |
SDH
1 - 0
OLI
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2025 |
HCJ
1 - 1
OLI
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2025 |
OLI
1 - 0
BIN
41%
22%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |