Análisis Montecarlo Sub16 vs Real Zaragoza Sub16
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
13.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.9%
16.7%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
69.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.55
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
+33%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo Sub16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 2
MON
52%
21%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2025 |
MON
0 - 0
HUE
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2025 |
EBR
1 - 0
MON
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 abr. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 3
MON
8%
13%
79%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 abr. 2025 |
MON
4 - 1
TAR
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Zaragoza Sub16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 2025 |
REA
3 - 2
SAN
85%
10%
6%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2025 |
REA
2 - 1
OLI
77%
13%
10%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 may. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 7
REA
7%
12%
81%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2025 |
REA
5 - 0
HCJ
93%
5%
2%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2025 |
HUE
0 - 3
REA
13%
16%
71%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |