Análisis Montecarlo Sub16 vs Tarazona SD A Sub16
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.91
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.4%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.66
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo Sub16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2025 |
MON
2 - 1
MON
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
STA
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2025 |
OLI
0 - 3
MON
12%
16%
72%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2025 |
MON
1 - 0
BIN
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2025 |
SDH
0 - 3
MON
54%
20%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Tarazona SD A Sub16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2025 |
TAR
1 - 5
OLI
9%
14%
78%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 0
TAR
52%
21%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2025 |
TAR
0 - 5
REA
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2025 |
SAN
6 - 0
TAR
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2025 |
TAR
0 - 1
HUE
23%
21%
57%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |