Análisis Montecarlo Sub16 vs CDU La Jota Vadorrey U16
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.96
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11.3%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
-77%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo Sub16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 dic. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
SAN
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2024 |
HUE
1 - 2
MON
46%
21%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
EBR
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2024 |
TAR
1 - 2
MON
13%
16%
71%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 nov. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
MON
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
CDU La Jota Vadorrey U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ene. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 9
OLI
12%
17%
72%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2024 |
HCJ
4 - 1
UNI
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 dic. 2024 |
REA
6 - 0
UNI
90%
7%
3%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 dic. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
SAN
16%
19%
65%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 nov. 2024 |
HUE
4 - 0
UNI
80%
13%
8%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |