Análisis Montecarlo vs AD Magallon
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.13
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 may. 2024 |
GUR
5 - 1
UDM
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 may. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 1
CFJ
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2024 |
ZUE
1 - 0
UDM
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 1
UDM
30%
23%
48%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2024 |
UDM
5 - 1
CFV
74%
16%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
AD Magallon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 may. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 0
MAG
39%
27%
35%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 may. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 0
CFV
87%
10%
3%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2024 |
LAA
5 - 0
MAG
85%
11%
5%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 1
MAL
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 2024 |
AND
1 - 1
MAG
77%
16%
8%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |