Análisis Montecarlo vs Alcampell
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.5
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.35
Goles esperados
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 2012 |
FRA
4 - 2
UDM
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2012 |
UDM
0 - 1
ATL
24%
24%
52%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 3
UDM
35%
25%
41%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 ene. 2012 |
UDM
0 - 0
LAL
62%
21%
18%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2012 |
UDM
0 - 2
ALF
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Alcampell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 2
STA
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
ALC
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 0
ZUE
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 ene. 2012 |
UDC
1 - 1
ALC
45%
24%
32%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2012 |
UDP
1 - 0
ALC
12%
19%
69%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | -1 |