Análisis Montecarlo vs Alcañiz
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.4
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-25%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 nov. 2011 |
UDM
1 - 3
CDA
42%
25%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2011 |
STA
0 - 0
UDM
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 2011 |
UDM
0 - 0
PEN
59%
22%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2011 |
ZUE
0 - 1
UDM
47%
24%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2011 |
UDM
0 - 0
UDC
48%
25%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Alcañiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 nov. 2011 |
ACF
3 - 4
STA
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
ACF
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 nov. 2011 |
ACF
3 - 0
ZUE
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 nov. 2011 |
UDC
2 - 0
ACF
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 oct. 2011 |
ACF
3 - 1
UDP
88%
9%
4%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |