Análisis Montecarlo vs Alcañiz
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
18%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 2025 |
TER
2 - 1
UDM
47%
22%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2025 |
UDM
0 - 1
ALC
58%
21%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 ene. 2025 |
MAG
1 - 0
UDM
39%
24%
37%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 ene. 2025 |
UDS
3 - 2
UDM
51%
23%
26%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 ene. 2025 |
UDM
1 - 1
CDC
20%
21%
59%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Alcañiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 2025 |
ACF
1 - 1
HER
83%
11%
5%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2025 |
SPO
1 - 2
ACF
16%
20%
64%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2025 |
ACF
1 - 0
ATC
55%
21%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2025 |
ACF
2 - 2
MAL
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 2025 |
ICF
3 - 0
ACF
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |